Daily Forex Analysis and Predictions for July 14, 2009

pg om GS..brrti GU hari ini akan naek trus ya. apa bisa buy skr?

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:33 am

iya perkiraannya begitu, akan naik terus. Tetapi waspada sebelum ia naik, ada kemungkinan untuk koreksi turun dahulu. Sebaiknya ditunggu nanti siang juga boleh atau setelah ia koreksi ke bawah dulu

imelda Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:49 am

disinyal forex sktr jam 15.00 langsung sell kiraen skr naek dulu hehehe . oc deh tunggu siang aja deh. makash ya opinionnya om GS

Klo pasang robot GS jam 10.00 WIB langsung firstOp sell gmn???

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:04 pm

Kalau pasang robot GS, sebaiknya di saat jam 1 siang

pagi GS…pagi ini untk EU sell dulu ya?

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:04 pm

EU akan bisa turun dikit lalu naik

pagi GS

numpang sharing lg yahh..

mnrt fibo retracement+bbrpa SMA & EMA dipadu Stochastic sy —> GU msh trs nanjak plg ga sampe 1.629x .. nahh kl emang bs lwt 1.631x maka ( buy saja ) besar kemungkinan u/ terbang sampe 1.643x bahkan lebih tinggi ( gitu yahh GS )

lg2 serupa tp tak sama kyk Bung GS,
GU jg potensial u/ drop, nahh kl level fibo sy maka dianjurkan u/ sell di 1.621x dgn SL/TP 60/80 pip

okeh, trims GS

sukses yahh GS
sukses yahh trader2

SALAM…….MINYAK ITU PENTING DARI INDICATOR LAIN—MASIH HARGA ADA INDICATION NAK JATUH SEMUA GROUP DIA AKAN IKUT

Dear GS
Risk management yg baik itu gmana ? berapa harus pasang SL yang ideal.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:05 pm

SL harus disesuaikan dengan Risk anda, biasanya jangan lebih dari 5% per single tradenya. Dan SL idealnya 50-100 point. TP juga harus sesuai dengan rasio SLnya, sehingga Risk dan Rewardnya sebanding

DEAR GS SEMOGA PREDIKSI KELUAR PAGI HARI SUPAYA TAK TERLAMBAT PASANG.THX

berita gbp nanti sore jam brapa dan berita usd jam brapa / trimakasih ya infonya.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:06 pm

sudah dipost di prediksinya kan, coba diteliti lagi

Tumpang lalu ya GS…

Kemungkinan malam ini gbpusd, eurusd, gbpjpy, eurjpy akan naik ya.. Pukul 16:00 nanti boleh entry buy..

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:06 pm

hari ini kami lebih recommend untuk Buy

trims analisanya

siang team GS..klo aku liat,ini malah ada kemungkinan langsung naik ya?

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:07 pm

intinya di hari ini hold buy is better

salam GS

Apakah berita dari CPI sore nanti akan melemahkan / menurunkan GU
Mohon penjelasan dari ilmu sifu GS..
GS memang hebat..TQ

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:08 pm

tergantung hasil beritanya Pak
kalau hasilnya jelek maka bisa melemahkan GBP

salam semuanya.
GS top harini nih, tmbh top lg ya.
GU dan UJ akan trs naik, BUY aja skrng, ojo telat.
ntar asar boleh dilihat lg kalo ragu take profit aja,
pake tp juga mantap.
saya dah pasangin lot yg lbh gede nih, moga bnr2 go up yg kenceng……., amin
semoga kita profit semua, hayo di aminin

masnur Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 11:22 am

AMINNNNNN
SEMOGA TERLAKSANA, TRADER2 INDONESIA JAYA.
LAPOR SAYA UDAH BUY JUGA. TKS ALL

hari Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:24 pm

setuju. aku sdh pasang buy di gu 5lot di 6250

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:32 pm

ok, tetap kontrol risk managementnya ya. Dan kalau sudah profit cukup jangan lupa diliquid ok

Hari ini anda mungkin sudah profit diatas $2000 dengan 5 lot tersebut. Congratulations.

Salam sukses !

GainScope.com

pa g tgg trn di 61-an aja pak???
dr td ak jg dh pengen buy GU…
tp kok tkt trn yah..
minta sarannya donk pak GS
xixi

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:10 pm

better to hold Buy ok

Risk aversion reappeared with a vengeance this past week, in a follow-on move after the weaker than expected US June NFP report undermined prospects for an imminent economic recovery. Rather than a series of weaker data reports as the catalyst, it appears to be more a case of a growing shift in sentiment aggravated by crowded ‘long risk’ positioning. To be sure, there were some data disappointments (UK May industrial production fell; lower trade levels reported by China and US; softer US and Eurozone sentiment gauges, to name a few), but the timing of the moves suggested technicals and positioning as the primary catalysts. The resulting market moves showed all the hallmarks of risk aversion: government bonds higher, carry trades (JPY crosses) lower, and stocks and commodities lower. The USD was largely unchanged on the week in US dollar Index terms, but the buck generally showed strength against all but the JPY (see below). Importantly, we also note that the commodity currencies (AUD, NZD, and CAD) generally outpaced other key currencies in weakening against the USD, which we view as a leading indicator of a trend shift.

Regular readers of The Week Ahead will know that we have been expecting a relapse in risk sentiment, though it all but exhausted our patience after June’s incessant consolidation. We predicated that strategic view on the historically extreme global downturn and on expectations that economic recovery will be weaker and take longer than investors have become accustomed to in recent recessions. While we expect further unwinding of risk positions in the weeks ahead, which may become more extreme depending on how corporate earnings come in (see below), we also stay with the primary strategic view that a genuine risk recovery will take root later this year. The timing is uncertain, but we would not expect a case for a resumption in growth to become apparent until late 3Q/early 4Q. However, we are not alone in that expectation, which suggests important tactical considerations to bear in mind. Chief among these is that declines in risky assets will frequently be met with latent buying interest from medium and longer-term investors anticipating the eventual return to growth. For example, this past Wednesday saw AUD/JPY collapse from 74 to 71 in a few hours, only to recover to 73.50 with 24 hours. With that in mind, we would look to cover short-risk trades (e.g. short EUR/USD or short AUD/JPY (carry trades)) after volatile declines, with a view to re-selling on rebounds. Another tactical consideration to bear in mind is that summertime markets are notoriously volatile and unpredictable. In this regard, we will widen out our expectations of price moves in general and anticipate more frequent spike reversals (i.e. a sharp rebound after a sharp decline, or vice versa after a move higher, usually within a few hours), as well as parabolic (i.e. accelerating) short-term price moves.

Looking ahead to next week, we would first note that Wednesday’s sharp decline in risky assets was followed by two days of consolidation, generally speaking. The market indecision suggested by that consolidation suggests Monday may see a volatile resolution, and we would expect this to see further declines in risk assets (e.g. stocks, commodities, JPY-crosses/gains in the USD excluding USD/JPY and bonds). In terms of individual markets, we would note that the S&P 500 is potentially seeing a ‘head and shoulders’ (H&S) topping pattern playing out; with a break below 870 likely a break of the neckline, targeting weakness to the 810/815 level. It has also dropped into its Ichimoku cloud, with a daily close below the cloud base at 865 suggesting greater weakness ahead, as well. In gold, price has dropped below the cloud, with the bottom of the cloud at 927.49 now offering important resistance, while weakness below 904/900 suggests fresh losses ahead. In currencies, many of the JPY-crosses are testing below the cloud base, with EUR/JPY (130.80), AUD/JPY (72.25) and CAD/JPY (82.88) having posted daily closes below. NZD/JPY may make a close below its cloud base (58.12) today. In the USD pairs, we are in many cases still within the recent ranges and we will be alert for a break lower in EUR/USD if below 1.3750, GBP/USD if below 1.6050/70, AUD/USD if below 0.7700, if more pronounced USD demand surfaces. The USD index tested the bottom of it cloud at 80.65/70 and we will be watching for a daily close above to confirm the potential for additional gains

JPY strength raises intervention risk

The JPY emerged as the strongest currency of the week, but the sharp and sudden decline of USD/JPY has rankled the Japanese Ministry of Finance (MOF). Just as the Japanese economic decline shows signs of stabilizing, the last thing the MOF needs is runaway JPY strength. MOF verbal intervention immediately followed Wednesday’s collapse below 94.00 and the market has been rife with talk of semi-official buying interest below 92.00 since then. We think the threat of intervention is very real, but that the MOF will initially jawbone and use proxies to support USD/JPY. In that sense, USD/JPY can test lower, but we prefer to buy on dips while the 90.00 level holds. At the moment, a potential short-term double bottom is in place at 91.75/80, but the pair will likely remain heavy while below 94.00/50. Should risk aversion increase materially, we think heightened USD demand could help support USD/JPY while leading to breakdowns in EUR/USD, AUD/USD and other non-JPY pairs.

Bank earnings and implications for the US dollar

Earnings kicked off this past week but the real action begins in earnest with bank earnings in the week ahead. There are a total of 35 companies slated to report and 11 of these are in the financials space. These include heavyweights Goldman Sachs (Tuesday), JP Morgan Chase (Thursday), Citigroup, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley (Friday). All but one of these companies is expected to report a net profit for the second quarter, but the important thing to gauge will be whether the actual numbers come in better or worse than expectations. With banks at the epicenter of the financial crisis, a return to profitability in this space will be needed before the “all clear” can be declared. Better than anticipated earnings should see equity marts come off their recent lows and break decidedly higher. Thin markets on the back of relatively lower volume around the summer could make for some interesting moves indeed.

In a scenario of better bank earnings and commensurately better bid risk assets, the US dollar would likely once again become the proverbial whipping boy. The currency vehicle of choice in the punishment process will likely be EUR/USD. Looking at the month of July thus far, the pair has been correlated nearly 90% with the move in US stocks. In other words, EUR/USD has moved in tandem with shares nine out of 10 times this month. We anticipate that the relationship will hold near-term as European banking concerns remain mostly on the backburner. While the S&P 500 remains depressed while below the 900 mark, an earnest break above that level could elicit some buying interest in size. Should bank earnings blow away expectations to the upside, we would not be surprised to see the index recover all the way back towards the 930/950 zone last seen in mid-June. Using the 2009 relationship as a guide, this would point to a EUR/USD closer to the 1.43/1.44 area – the early June highs.

Should things not turn out so well on the earnings front, however, risk trades and EUR/USD specifically could be in for a rough time. The aforementioned S&P 500 remains on knife-edge and just above what has become important support near the 870 level – as current economic data blur the outlook. The first pit-stop on a break through there would be the 100-day moving average which lurks at 852 and then the 830/800 level would be up for grabs through there. That first level would point to a EUR/USD trading closer to the 1.33/1.34 area while the more bearish and less likely scenario puts it closer the 1.29/1.30 zone. With EUR/USD seemingly coiling up in a daily sideways triangle consolidation, the likelihood of a major break in the near future looks extremely likely. The direction of the break remains unclear for now, but we expect bank earnings next week will at least help chart the course.

UK CPI outlook could determine course of quantitative easing

The Bank of England’s decision on July 9 to keep interest rates unchanged was overshadowed by its announcement not to alter its existing commitment with respect to quantitative easing. Yields on the 10 yr gilt pushed up sharply and cable was squeezed higher on the news. The Bank had made clear in June that it would take until August before its program of assets purchases totaling GBP 125 bln would be complete. Rather than make an announcement on July 9 whether or not it would extend the plan, the BoE stated that “the committee will review the scale of the program again at its August meeting, alongside its latest inflation projections”.

This statement has heightened the importance of the August 6 MPC meeting for the gilts and sterling markets. There are several things that the Bank of England will be able to do next month. It could signal an end to quantitative easing. It could announce that it will complete the amount which the government has authorized, which would mean an additional GBP 25 bln of asset purchases. It could decide to delay further a decision on asset purchasing dependent on economic data. Alternatively, it could ask the government to extend the plan further.

The absence of a commitment to an extension of the plan in July increases the chances that the BoE will not extend the plan any further. One contributing factor could be the failure of CPI to move below the BoE’s 2.0% inflation target. May CPI stands at 2.2% y/y, June inflation data are due on July 14, the market is expecting a fall to 1.8% y/y. This release combined with the Bank’s new inflation forecasts (due to be presented in the Inflation Report on Aug 14) could be crucial in the Bank’s decision. Therefore very weak June CPI could have a significantly negative effect on the pound and gilt yields. Also important to the BoE’s decision will be economic data, which generally remains soft, and BoE lending data. To date, official lending data continue to show weakness in lending to businesses, in mortgage lending and in consumer credit net flows. This highlights the risk that QE may yet be extended.

The underlying tone in sterling in the week ahead will be subject to the whims of risk appetite. However, given its implications for QE soft UK CPI data next week would increase the risk that cable will eventually break lower below 1.600.

Key data and events to watch next week

The US calendar sees a plethora of economic events in the upcoming week. Monday starts off the action with the monthly budget statement. Tuesday is a touch busier with producer prices, retail sales and business inventories on deck. Wednesday brings consumer prices, the NY Empire manufacturing report, industrial production, crude oil inventories and the minutes of the FOMC June 24 meeting. Thursday has the usual weekly jobless claims data, international capital flows, the Philly Fed manufacturing index and the NAHB homebuilder sentiment index. Friday rounds out the week with housing starts and building permits. In a word – busy!

The eurozone is a touch lighter. ECB President Trichet gets the ball rolling on Monday with a speech at the Ifo seminar. Tuesday has the eurozone ZEW economic sentiment index, German ZEW and eurozone industrial production. Wednesday sees eurozone consumer prices while Thursday has French consumer prices on deck. The eurozone trade balance and eurozone construction output close things out on Friday.

It is a pretty light week in the UK. The BRC retail sales monitor leads the way on Monday along with RICS home prices. DCLG home prices and consumer prices are due on Tuesday while Wednesday sees jobless claims and the unemployment rate.

Japan also sees a rather typical week. Monday has industrial production and consumer confidence. The Bank of Japan rate decision is expected on Wednesday and, if past is prescient, will be a non-event. That day also has machine tool orders and the tertiary industry index on tap. The leading index rounds out the week on Friday.

Canada is characteristically light. The Bank of Canada Senior Loan Officer Survey will provide a pulse on the credit markets on Monday. Motor vehicle sales are due Tuesday while Wednesday has manufacturing shipments lined up. Friday is the busiest day with consumer prices and the leading economic index.

It is also a pretty standard week down under. New Zealand retail sales kick it off on Sunday while Australian business conditions are up Tuesday. New Zealand business PMI, New Zealand consumer prices and Australian leading index are all up on Wednesday. Friday has Australian import and export prices.

China is once again on the radar and has a ton of data due to be released on Wednesday with GDP, producer prices, consumer prices, retail sales and industrial production all scheduled. The markets have been paying close attention to Chinese data in an effort to gauge the outlook for global growth and as such these releases could prove quite market moving.

Untuk EU apa sale dl ato hold buy… Thx 4 suggest. Mohon petunjuk dr bods GS dan saran dr rekan rekan skalian yg lebih tahu…
Terima Kasih

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:11 pm

ikuti saja prediksinya ya Pak

tapi untuk hari ini kami melihat bahwa order Buy lebih baik

Tn GS,

ingin bertanya, UJ sampai tahap mana akan buy. Pls inform.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:12 pm

UJ bisa langsung Buy saja Pak seperti prediksinya

Waduh EU koq malah naek2 terus neh…., katanya mau turun sampe 1.3920…?

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:13 pm

tadi memang sempat turun , tapi tidak sampai di 1.3920. Memang ujung-ujungnya kan Hold Buy lebih bagus.

Jadi tidak perlu harus ditunggu ke 1.3920, karena prediksi juga tidak akan bisa tepat di angka tersebut loh Pak

macam mana nak tgk analisis semua dalam bahasa melayu atau mahasa indonesia sebab sebelum ini boleh tapi sekarang tak boleh camana ya tologn bantu

GS
GU sudah bisa buy sekarang … ??

BISA BUY GU DAN UJ DARI SEKARANG.
POLANYA UDAH TRLIHAT DARI TD KOK,
OM GS DAH BTL NGASIH PETUNJUKNYA.

AYO BUY NOW, JGN LUPA PSNG SL,
JAUHAN DIKIT NDA PAPA.
ANALIS2 LAIN JUGA NYURUH BUY KOK.
SUKSES BUAT SEMUANYA.

Hallo GS :
Prediksi GS benar nih, dan skrg GU sedang naik lagi stlh tadi sempat turun. Kira pada kisaran berapa mulai OP Buy nya nih Bos ?
Salam buat Team GS dan semua rekan trader, semoga hari ini profit semua ya…thks

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:14 pm

ikuti saja prediksinya. dan Hold Buy is better ok

GS
GU buy sekarang bisa g ?

anto Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 12:50 pm

kelihatan skarang waktu buy sdh kelihatan polanya baik g/u e/u g/j e/j

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:14 pm

bisa

Teman-teman trader ini sekedar bagi pengalaman aja, trading system dg hedging martingale jarang sekali loss, syaratnya hanya tahan mental melihat margin yg terus berkurang.Tapi itu hanya utk sementara utk mendapatkan profit yg lebih besar.Apa lg OP nya berdasar analisisnya Om GS.Dan syarat yang lain harus sabar dan disiplin.Sukses selalu buat OM GS dan Teman-Teman Trader,Yusuf-Pontianak

ikun Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:55 pm

Trading system hedging itu bagaimana sih ?

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 6:05 pm

Hedging itu artinya yaitu open Buy dan Sell di pair mata uang yang sama, tanpa perlu menutup salah satunya.

contoh: Anda pasang Buy 1 lot di GBP/USD, kemudian Sell lagi 1 lot di GBP/USD, jadi ada 2 open posisi yaitu Buy dan Sell di GBP/USD sebanyak 1+1 Lot, nah itu dinamakan dengan Hedging

Forecast High:
1.6372
Forecast Low:
1.5959
Entry Buy:
1.6233
T/P Buy:
1.6294
S/L Buy:
1.6183

Berdasarkan news dr berbagai sumber serta berdasarkan analisa technical dan fundamental, untuk hr ini trend GU dan EU diperkirakan UPWARD, dan diprediksikan GU akan menyentuh level 1.6440 sedangkan EU diperkirakan akan menyentuh level 1.4125. Direkomendasikan OP :

BUY GU 1.6265 SL 1.6075 TP 1.6440

BUY EU 1.3402 SL 1.3910 TP 1.4125

Today\’s Economic Calendar:
Country-Indonesia, Indicator, Forecast, Prior

08:30 UK HICP Jun 0.3% 0.6%
08:30 UK HICP Jun Y/Y 1.9% 2.2%
08:30 UK HICP ex EFAT Jun Y/Y 1.6% 1.6%
08:30 UK Retail prices Jun 0.5% 0.6%
08:30 UK Retail prices Jun Y/Y -1.4% -1.1%
08:30 UK RPI-X Jun Y/Y – 1.6%
09:00 Germany ZEW economic expectations index Jul – 44.8
09:00 EU 16 Industrial production May – -1.9%
09:00 EU 16 Industrial production May Y/Y – -21.6%
12:30 USA PPI Jun 0.7% 0.2%
12:30 USA PPI Jun Y/Y – -5.0%
12:30 USA PPI excluding food and energy Jun 0.1% -0.1%
12:30 USA PPI excluding food and energy Jun Y/Y – 3.0%
12:30 USA Retail sales Jun 0.5% 0.5%
12:30 USA Retail sales excluding auto Jun 0.5% 0.5%
12:55 USA Redbook 11.07
14:00 USA Business inventories May -0.9% -1.1%

Sel 14 Jul 2009

Yen tergelincir, harapan perbankan angkat saham

Yen tergelincir terhadap berbagai mata uang mayoritas selasa atas harapan pendapatan sektor keuangan AS akan lebih dari yang diperkirakan, meski masih terdapat kewaspadaam terahdap ekonomi global.

Dolar menguat terhadap Yen setelah sentuh level bawah di lima bulan pada senin kemarin, namun kenaikan the greenback terhadap Yen kemungkinan akan terbatas menunggu hasil dari Goldman Sachs pada hari ini.

Senin kemarin, saham-saham AS naik lebih dari 2% setelah tanggapan bullish atas kinerja sector keuangan dari analis Meredith Whitney yang mengangkat harapan bahwa hasil perbankan akan lebih besar dari yang diperkirakan. Di juga naikkan tingkatan dari Goldman Sachs menjadi “buy”, yang membuat sahamnya menguat. Bank of America Corp dan JPMorgan Chase & Co dijadwalkan melaporkan hasil kwartalannya pada minggu ini bersamaan dengan Goldman Sachs.

dolar naik 0.1% menjadi 92.98 yen setelah mencapai penurunan di lima bulan 91.73 yen di platform perdagangan elektronik EBS senin. Euro naik 0.2% menjadi 130.13 yen, dan naik 0.1% $1.3996.

Indeks dolar, yang merupakan parameter kinerjanya terahdap enam mata uang mayoritas, turun 0.2% menjadi 79.988.

Minyak naik di atas $60 di tengah kenaikan pasar modal

Minyak berhasil balikkan penurunan sesi sebelumnya dan mampu naik di atas $60 per barel selasa, hal ini berkat sentimen yang tumbuh di tengah kenaikan pasar saham, namun masih kuatnya kekhawatiran resesi yang dalam dan berkepanjangan batasi kenaikan minyak.

Minyak mentah AS pengiriman Agustus hingga pukul 11.05 WIB berada di level $60.32 per barel. Kontrak tadi malam ditutup turun 20 sen menjadi $59.69, setelah menyentuh level terendahnya di hampir dua bulan. London Brent crude naik 36 sen menjadi $61.05.

Kenaikan saham Asia selasa mengikuti kenaikan di Wall Street setelah tingginya tanggapan analis terhadap sector keuangan AS kuatkan harapan hasil kwartalan perbankan yang lebih besar dari perkiraan.

Ekspektasi bahwa berkurangnya minyak mentah AS minggu lalu turut memberikan support terhadap harga minyak. Cadangan minyak mentah AS kemungkinan akan kembai turun untk enam minggu berturut-turut.

Ada berita apa yaa…., koq jamu nya GS kurang sakti….he.he.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:16 pm

sudah benar kan sesuai prediksinya, dan juga telah kami beritahukan Hold BUY is better.
Mungkin anda salah membaca prediksinya.

Teman-teman yang lain sudah benar semua mengikutinya.

Waspada pula terhadap berita, karena berita dapat memutar balikkan analisa.

Prediksi juga tidak akan persis angkanya di harga tersebut. Yang terpenting arahnya benar.

DMW Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:32 pm

Kan dah bener prediksinya GS ? Memang sih, ada kerancuan soal TURUN DULU, akan tetapi kita nya sendiri yang harus memiliki asumsi TURUN DULU di angka berapa. Ya tergantung analisa kita serta MM terhadap resiko.

Btw, versi GS, TP Long GU ada dimana ya ? Tq.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:36 pm

kami prediksikan di 1.63, tapi sekarang Trailingnya sudah aktif, jadi aman .
Kalau-kalau nanti market berbalik arah masih bisa TP setidaknya 40 pips dapat

OM GS thanks for advice nya, karena telat tayangan nya jadi sy juga telat antisipasi nya……he.he.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 1:33 pm

Kalau terlambat jangan dipaksakan ya

besok masih banyak kesempatan

apa maksudnya hedging dan scalping?

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 2:35 pm

Hedging itu adalah order Buy dan Sell di pair yang sama, tanpa menutup salah satu posisinya.

Scalping itu order dengan TP kecil2 dan secara bertubi2.

Bisa dipelajari juga dasar2 forex di http://www.gainscope.com/forexdasar

DMW Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 2:38 pm

Bukankah hedging skarang sudah dilarang pak ? Atau mungkin maksudnya hedging, tapi dengan 2 account ? Hmmm …. salah ya … :D. Dan sepertinya tidak semua broker yang memperbolehkan scalping.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 2:51 pm

Memang ada beberapa broker tertentu yang memang melarang Hedging. Tetapi di Gainscope.com dan di mitra kami ECNpro.com tidak ada larangan Hedging

Gi mn nih Om GS sampai sore kok masih jauh dari analisismu?
MO buy pa sell?
Gmn mnrt om GS? Tanks

Ivan Yoo Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 2:50 pm

Sudah ketinggalan kereta bang… Baca postingan teman2 diatas dung..

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 2:50 pm

Anda sudah ketinggalan kereta Pak

tadi sudah action semua di Buy, coba dibaca di comment-comment diatas

DMW Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 3:05 pm

Klo saya bln saya closed pak, masih Hold Buy @1.6243 SL @BE+10 1.6253. Berharap dapat menembus angka 1.6290 dan menuju 1.6360. Walah … ini saya ga nurut saya GS :D:D. Taking chance with +10 pips already save ….

Btw GS, jika misalnya Open Real Account di GS, apakah mendapat assist seperti ini ? (Tergoda mode On …)
Kurang lebih 1 bulan ini saya mengamati prediksi GS, baik di Website maupun di Forum IndoFX.
Jika analisa saya “sangat berbeda” dengan GS, saya stay away ajah … :D

Tq GS.

onta Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 3:16 pm

Klo saya bln saya closed pak, masih Hold Buy @1.6243 SL @BE+10 1.6253. Berharap dapat menembus angka 1.6290 dan menuju 1.6360. Walah … ini saya ga nurut saya GS :D. Taking chance with +10 pips already save ….

@BE+10 maksudnya apa ya??
saya sering baca di forum lain, tapi ga tau artinya…

DMW Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 3:23 pm

@BE maksudnya Break Even pak, SL @BE+10 maksudnya StopLoss menjadi BreakEven (Angka pada saat kita buy/sell) dan +10 berarti keep profit di +10, gitu pak kurang lebih.

Misal Open Buy @1.6243, maka Break even pada 1.6243 juga. Karena Buy, maka + 10 ada di angka 1.6253.

Pernyataan Open Buy @1.6243 SL @BE+10 itu sama dengan Open Buy @1.6243 SL @16253.

hari Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 7:10 pm

telat om.

Kemarin dollar dan Yen melemah terhadap Euro karena adanya spekulasi Goldman Sachs Group Inc akan melaporkan kenaikan pendapatan usaha, yang membuat investor kembali bersemangat membeli saham dipasar global.
Dollar Selandia Baru juga meningkat saat Gubernur RBNZ Alan Bollard mengatakan pemerintah kiwi mulai membuka diri terhadap mitra bisnis. Won Korea Selatan juga meningkat dari lembah terdalam ketika saham Asia dan Amerika naik. Goldman Sachs mungkin mengatakan telah memperoleh pendapatan $ 2,2 miliar, atau $ 3,57 per saham, dalam tiga bulan sampai Juni, menurut 25 analis yang disurvei oleh Bloomberg. Goldman, JPMorgan Chase & Co dan International Business Machines Corp adalah dua dari 30 perusahaan dalam Standard & Poor’s 500 Index yang dijadwalkan untuk melaporkan laporan keuangan minggu ini.
Hari ini tingkat kepercayaan Jerman & Retail Sales Amerika akan dirilis dan diprediksikan nilainay akan positif.
Standard Chartered Plc memprediksikan nilai USD akan melemah terhadap Yen hingga 91,30 Yen dalam waktu dekat. Dengan kenaikan harga saham kemarin, nilai komoditi emas dan minyak juga naik yang menyebabkan nilai mata uang AUD & CAD mengalami kenaikan.

Preview berita ekonomi hari ini :

15.30 WIB
Nilai CPI y/y Inggris diprediksikan akan turun dari 2.2% menjadi 1.8%.

16.00 WIB
Nilai German ZEW Economic Sentiment diprediksikan akan naik dari 44.8 menjadi 48.0.

19.30 WIB
Ada tiga buah berita fundamental penting untuk mata uang USD yaitu Core Retail Sales m/m (diprediksikan tetap), PPI m/m (diprediksikan naik), dan Retail Sales m/m (diprediksikan turun). Kondisi tersebut dapat menimbulkan kebimbangan, sebaiknya Anda berhati-hati bertrading basis USD pada pukul 19.30 WIB. Awasi selalu posisi Anda.

Berdasarkan pengamatan teknikal, GBP cenderung melemah signifikan dibanding dengan Euro, AUD & NZD. Siang ini (pengamatan pada pukul 12.20 WIB), nilai indeks Dow, Nasdaq, dan S&P 500 sedang mengalami kenaikan. Ada peluang Euro akan mengalami kenaikan hingga sore nanti akibat kenaikan indeks tersebut didukung prediksi kenaikan ZEW Jerman. Prediksi kami, Euro akan kembali melemah dari sore-malam nanti.

Prediksi pergerakan harga hari ini :

EUR/USD : 1.3870 – 1.4050 (trend turun)

GBP/USD : 1.6050 – 1.6330 (trend turun)

AUD/USD : 0.7750 – 0.7880 (trend turun)

NZD/USD : 0.6240 – 0.6350 (trend turun)

USD/CAD : 1.1470 – 1.1650 (trend naik)

USD/CHF : 1.0780 – 1.0920 (trend naik)

USD/JPY : 92.00 – 93.60 (trend turun)

NZD/JPY : 57.50 – 59.50 (trend turun)

AUD/JPY : 71.70 – 73.80 (trend turun)

EUR/JPY : 128.50 – 130.90 (trend turun)

GBP/JPY : 148.70 – 152.00 (trend turun)

EUR/GBP : 0.8580 – 0.8700 (trend naik)

Hedging & scalping are the right way to trade. In every level we can control situation by them. The GS prediction is the best.

Hold BUY Pound…

Lumayan sdh proft 20 pips. dkit2 yg pnting profit, Kira2 sore sampai malam nanti EU/GU op ap? thx….

Danli Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 4:40 pm

Kalau sudah TP hari ini lebih baik tdk trade nanti malam, pak.

Saya sudah TP. Jika penutupan malam ini GU bisa mencapai High-nya minggu lalu (1.6380), esok saya trade BUY G/U.

Salam.

hardy Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:02 pm

kalau profit 20 poin, belum besar…
nanti malam ini jam 7.30 ada pergerakan hebat akan terjadi loncatan besar..
gbp kemungkinan akan terbang..
bersiap-siap pasang 10%-20% modal untuk mendapatkan profit yang langka ini..
haha..

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:03 pm

Kami pribadi malam tidak OP lagi, karena sudah profit. istirahat dahulu, nunggu analisa besok lagi ok

DMW Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:09 pm

20 pips sudah OK menurut saya. Coba dalam 1 bulan (20 hr), jika tiap hari kontinu 20 pip ? Maka sebulan sudah punya 400 pip. Wow ….

Gpp bos … yang penting profit real. Btw, jangankan profit pip, BEP saja juga sudah masuk kategori woke … :D

hardy Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:24 pm

belum tentu dapat 20 profit terus tiap hari..
sekali lose bisa lebih dari 20 point..
kalau margin kecil, profit besar 150-250 an..
kalau margin sedang, profit 100 point-150 point..
kalau margin besar, profit 70 poin -90 poin..
untuk memenangkan margin besar, liat kondisi di gain scope, market, dan grafik indikator..
kalau semua pas sejalan, maka siap-siap menuju surga..
hahahah…..

anto Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:15 pm

ya sudah kalau sdh profit besuk lg mas bejo ora usah ngoyo yg penting sudah profit…..

DMW Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 8:15 pm

Stubuh bos ! Lanjutkan !

kok hari ini analysanya keluar jam 5 pagi ya? dan senin kemarin juga jam 1an pagi…. kan biasanya prediksinya keluar jam 10an pagi… mohon penjelasannya….

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:04 pm

Biasanya memang sekitar jam 10 pagi, tetapi terkadang bisa juga lebih pagi updatenya.

Agar tidak tertinggal informasi updatenya, silahkan daftarkan email anda di http://www.gainscope.com/newsletter.php

sore ini eu da turun lg setelah naik ke 1.4…nanti malam eu bs lari ke 1.4 lagi ga?tks bos GS

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:05 pm

tergantung berita US nanti malam tentang retail sales

kalau kami pribadi istirahat dahulu, karena sudah profit tadi siang . Besok lanjut lagi di analisa berikutnya ya

Salam Sukses

GainScope.com

hardy Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 5:13 pm

bisa aja kalau nanti malam usd lemah high impact..
tapi kurasa eu dak begitu jalan hari ini.. eu lagi liburan..
lu main aja gbp usd atau gbp jpy..
nanti jam 7.30 ada kecepatan super lewat…
keliatannya naik..
ok, lu boleh buy mulai sekarang gu, tp 200 poin, sl 60
margin 3% kalau masih ragu-ragu..
tapi aku pake margin 15%, karena kemungkinan besar naik…
soalnya gbp kalau sore jma 5 lewat uda plus 100 lebih, maka malam akan muncul 200-300 an, kalau high impact bisa sampe 600 an lebih..
okay.. persiapan menuju yang terdasyat..
hahaah…

Malam GS saya td ketinggalan kereta coz br ada waktu skrg utk trade,GU skrg udah bisa sell ga??????tlg penjelasannya.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 6:07 pm

kalau saat sekarang sebaiknya tunggu hingga berita US keluar , yaitu jam 7:30 malam WIB nanti.

Hati2, kalau malam lebih tidak terduga, karena tergantung berita

Mr.GS ! menurut anda kalau sudah profit sebaiknya close dan trading besok lagi. Alasan utamanya apa sih ? apakah soal psikologi, teknikal, fundamental atau semuanya ?

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 6:17 pm

Alasan utamanya adalah Risk Management

Setiap orang tipikalnya berbeda-beda. Ada pula yang tipikal Risk Taker , yaitu berani OP terus , dan tentunya return yang didapat bisa sangat tinggi tetapi High Risk

Kami lebih menganjurkan tipe yang Safe Trading , pelan tetapi selamat

Ini gimana pergerakan E/U, G/U nanti setelah berita jam 7:30 WIB. mohon pencerahannya. ok

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 7:37 pm

Retail sales climbed 0.6% in June, after rising an unrevised 0.5% in May.

E/U dan G/U berpotensi untuk turun akibat berita ini, karena bagus utk US

Iwansa asnawi Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 7:40 pm

ok.Makasih atas penjelasannya

Om GS tks banget ya tuk pdiksinya. hr ini aq d profit 60 pib aq stju banget ma motto Om GS. ga usah rakus yg penting aman. aq tunggu prdksinya bsk ya. tuk yg d profit udahan close aja tinggal tidur nyenyak nikmatin mimpi indah.

gainscope.com Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 7:37 pm

ok Pak, salam sukses ya

GainScope.com

JosephEF Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 7:54 pm

pak.. sy lihat prediksi anda kebanyakan akan berakhir di sore sblm psr US buka. Kasihan yg pulang kantor tdk sempat ikut kereta nya. apkh bisa buat prediksi juga utk malam ? spy teman2 kita juga bisa ikut rading, ttp sesi nya beda ?

Tks pak untuk prediksinya hari ini

om GS ini GU ama EU indikator di robot kok masih BUY kira 2 gimnana om

Danli Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 9:17 pm

Hold BUY G/U…!
Kalau belum OP, tunggu besok koreksinya, bisa dipadukan dengan RSI H1 menyentuh 30 untuk posisi entry.

Robot “compare” reaksi dari news 19.30 GMT+7 USD yg seharusnya menguat signifikan, namun tidak ada reaksi sama sekali. Bank earning juga “pepesan kosong” masih dianggap high risk oleh market.

Bila closing malam ini bisa menembus 1.6380, esok BUY G/U lebih baik. Kalaupun antara 1.6250 – 1.6380 Buy masih OK (nambah lot). Bila menembus 1.6150, saya gak trade esok… mungkin berpikir untuk pensiun di forex. hahaha….

Trimakasih London trader.
(Hold Buy @1.6050)

Kanaya Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 10:10 pm

Bila yg muncul adalah sinyal buy, smtr trend sdg turun biasanya akan berubah mjd sinyal sell scr otomatis ketika hrg menyentuh titik tertentu. Saat saya menggunakan robot GS, saya biasa menggunakan Use First Order Trapping dgn mengatur jam trading yg saya inginkan, selanjutnya robot akan bekerja seperti biasa, sehingga bila harga yang kita inginkan blm tersentuh, kita dpt terhindar dari jebakan slippage, dan resiko salah prediksi trend dpt dikurangi.

ad kemungkinan eu, gu akan turun terus hingga pagi besok..

kapan turun nich dah ngantuk

hardy Reply:
July 14th, 2009 at 10:06 pm

tidur aja..
nanti kalau lu bermimpi forex turun, maka cepat bangun.. dan buka pc, lalu pasang sell..
biasanya mimpi bisa menjadi kenyataan..
haha…

Om mimpiku jadi kenyataan turun hik hik , sekarang tidur lagi ah ah ah lumayan 2 jt .

OM GS ….
Thanks….Thanks…Thanks…Thanks….Thanks…Thanks…
Thanks….Thanks…Thanks…Thanks….Thanks…Thanks…
Thanks….Thanks…Thanks…Thanks….Thanks…Thanks…
Sorry Baru kasih comment, keburu ketiduran kemaren , sambil
liat chart

Ditunggu prediksinya ya yang cespleng

Salam Profit terus !!! Pagi Om GS, kliatannya pagi ini EU bakal tmbus 1.4… lg ya biz tu kira2 siang samapai malam akan turun, pendapat om GS bagmn. Untuk GU pun demikian….?
THX b4
Nb: kok blm ada predisi hari ini?