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Daily Forex Analysis and Prediction for June 4, 2009


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EUR/USD
It is more likely to go up to around 1.4250 or higher, and before it is go up, it have a potential to go down first to around 1.4060. BUT if it is still continue to go down and break 1.3950 it will bearish. We suggest to wait and see until it reach the bottom price (usually after news), and then entry Buy. Because overall the structure actually is still Bullish. For alternative, you can use a breakout strategy too.
(Current Price: 1.4180)

GBP/USD
It is more likely to go up to around 1.6450 or higher, but before it is go up, it have a potential to go down first to around 1.6150.
(Current Price: 1.6305)

AUD/USD
We don’t have any recommendation for today, but we see that AUD/USD will move like EUR/USD. Better not to trade in AUD/USD for today.
(Current Price: 0.8010)

USD/JPY
It is more likely to go up to to around 96.50 or higher. But USD/JPY have a potential to move zig zag too. Better not to trade for today.
(Current Price: 96.08)

USD/CHF
It is more likely to go down to around 1.0620, and before it is go down, it have a potential to go up first to around 1.0750, BUT if it is still go up and break 1.0830 it will bullish. The movement of USD/CHF is looks like the opposite of EUR/USD.
(Current Price: 1.0684)



Today is contains a lot of news, so please more carefully with them




Beware from today news: (time is using GMT+7 / Indonesia – Jakarta Time)
(see your time convertion at www.timeanddate.com)

15:00 GBP
16:00 EUR
18:00 GBP (becareful of its interest rate statement news)
18:45 EUR (becareful of its interest rate statement news)
19:05 USD
19:30 USD, EUR
19:45 USD

All the technical analysis can be affected by the news report (fundamental)




NOTE:
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TREND & TECNICAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY

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Thank You. Terima Kasih



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Comments

menurutku EU akan tetep bullish, kemaren turun wajar saja koreksi secara teknikal… aku ada open buy di 1.4204, menurut GS Hold atau CLose?

Thx

herry halim Reply:

kalau menurut berita sih, euro sudah sampai titik terakhir buat bullisht, ada yg bilang mau ke 1.3.. ada juga yg bilang secara teknikal masih bulish. jadi bingung juga nih, tapi keputusan di tangan anda hehe :) ini masukan aja

gainscope.com Reply:

Sepanjang margin anda kuat tidak apa2, tetapi kami sarankan sebaiknya jangan lupa control risk managementnya

Pak, sesuai dg prediksi GS untuk GBP/USD, jika op buy, di nilai brp pasang stop loss yg sebaiknya?

gainscope.com Reply:

Kami sarankan untuk menunggu hingga berita usai, dan prediksi kami G/U akan turun terlebih dahulu. SL biasanya kami 50 pips, Risk 5% . TP: 30-100 pips

Saya masih bingung dengan istilah bulish tlng dijelaskan apa maksudnya bulish itu?

kok saya bingung yach ini hari mau trade ??? jadi bingung hiks

gainscope.com Reply:

Hari ini memang agak complicated karena banyak news penting. Tetapi prediksi kami G/U dan E/U akan turun dahulu sebelum melanjutkan bullish.

Karena sebenarnya masih belum ada tanda2 yang menunjukkan penguatan di USD

pak GS saya buy gbp/usd pada poin 1.6334 apa itu diposisi aman ato perlu dibalik menjadi sell, karena takutnya turun ke posisi yang tidak aman. sekian terima kasih

gainscope.com Reply:

Coba ditunggu hingga berita usai ya, dan kami sarankan pasang SL (kami anjurkan 50 pips) dan risk 5%

Kemungkinan G/U akan turun dahulu , setelah itu akan bullish kembali

Saya masih awam tentang trading berapa sebaiknya kita pasang SL dari kita open? berapa poin? terus apa yang dimaksud dengan bullish?
Trims

gainscope.com Reply:

Idealnya SL 50 pips, TP: 30-100 pips, Risk 5%

Bullish itu trend naik

pak, hari ini sebaiknya buy/self untuk pounsterling-usdollar?

gainscope.com Reply:

Prediksi kami G/U akan turun dahulu sebelum naik nanti. Dan waspada terhadap berita, karena hari ini banyak sekali berita penting yang berpengaruh

thx infonya :)

Pak/Ibu.. untuk GBP/JPY tidak ada prediksi ya??

gainscope.com Reply:

G/J masih belum ada, tetapi arah pergerakan G/J bisa mengikuti G/U

ini hari kagak trade kyknya nihhh pikiran lagi kacauuu penuh keragu raguannnnnnn huhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

gainscope.com Reply:

Kami kasih tips ya:
bisa dicoba dengan Robot Gainscope kami juga untuk trading yang lebih nyaman, tetapi biasanya hanya cocok untuk mata uang GBP/USD, dan untuk hari ini bisa start dijalankan di jam 1-2 siang WIB (baca buku panduannya ya), dan silahkan dicoba di demo terlebih dahulu.

Robot kami juga berfungsi sebagai alat bantu saja, dan semi otomatis dengan sistem reversal/intervensi.

Untuk info tentang robot bisa ke robot@gainscope.com

Semoga info diatas bisa membantu :)

herry halim Reply:

udah pernah saya coba pak di versi demo cuma agak ragu heheh takut ke babblasan sih, dah tobat hehehe :P , tp thx ada saranya. tunggu buy aja akhh kalau udah dibawahh hehehehe

jd bingung u/j pergerakannya sangat zig zag sekali

gainscope.com Reply:

U/J kami tidak merekomendasikan untuk trade hari ini

boleh lah gs prediksinya mantap, profesional mudah2 tidak bosan. thank you sebelumnya.

gainscope.com Reply:

Terima kasih atas apresiasinya :)

gs kira kira udah bisa buy blm untuk G/U 1.6256 karana dari td berkisar di harga tsb

gainscope.com Reply:

Hati2, prediksi kami G/U akan turun dahulu ke 1.6150 tersebut sebelum naik

siang bung GS kira2 dah bisa buy belum gbp/usd?

gainscope.com Reply:

skt jam 1-2 siang nanti , dan waspada terhadap berita nanti sore ya

nanti waktunya ambil buy..kira jam berapa ya om..
habis berita itu jam brp tho om GS yg baik hati

salam sukses

gainscope.com Reply:

skt jam 1-2 siang nanti, dan sore juga harus waspada

saat ambil Buy G/U tunggu jam brp om
hambis berita itu jam berapa om GS

Trims infonya

GS, kok GU posisinya naik trus…mohon petunjuk…apakah sdh bisa buy?

gainscope.com Reply:

Bisa, tapi tetap harus hati2 ya, karena Sore ada berita penting juga.
wait and see setelah berita suku bunga lebih baik

thank’s GS team terutama pak james atas support yang diberikan kepada saya mengenai permasalahan robot gainscope live. maju terus gainscope

trims GS…mohon petunjuk berikutnya..

suskses GS

prediksi GS setelah jam 2 siang apa yang terjadi dengan E/U

waah ko GU malah naik terus pak?
rekomendasi anda untuk saat ini bagaimana?
apa harus waiting, apa harus op buy atau op sell?
makasih sebelumnya

analisa GS hari ini..ciamik..
tks GS..
berita sore jambrp ya..

Kalo suku bunga naik konsekwensinya apa terhadap G/U ?
Trus, beritanya bisa diakses dimana?

my first comment

gainscope.com Reply:

Tergantung dari isi beritanya, suku bunga naik biasanya G/U akan lebih melambung

berita bisa dilihat di cnbc ataupun di beritaforex.com di TV bloombergnya

Fatary Reply:

kalau suku bunga tetap atau di pertahankan gimana biasanya hasilnya? :)

gainscope.com Reply:

Tergantung dari slipan berita di dalamnya, kenapa dia mempertahankan suku bunganya tsb. dan jika bagus untuk negara itu maka akan menguat. Tetapi biasanya jika tetap, maka pergerakannya akan bouncing saja.

Gs, setelah berita nanti sore kemungkinan buy/sell ni…mohon petunjuk..

posisi buy saya sukses, setelah saya pasang target, thanks ya GS…

hik…hik…….. ayena …..aing menang 40 pips….hik.hik.
hikkkkkkk………..turnuhun GS

dear GS, ntar ksh tau ya berita yg keluar + atau – buat Uro ? Thanks..

bener naikkk ke langittt GBP tp saya lupa pasang :( ,sialannnn lagi sibukkk tadi bahhhhh

thanx bngt buat prediksinya. Berkat GS saya ga jadi loss 50. Padahal dah grogi bngt. maklum baru. Ternyata benar…turun dulu baru naek…Gpp dah ambil 10 yg penting rutin :D

huuh..

Tentative GBP MPC Rate Statement

19:00 GBP Official Bank Rate 0.50% 0.50%

Maksud dari kata tentative itu apa ya? Trus di umumkan jam berapa itu? Thx Gainscope

gainscope.com Reply:

itu masih belum pasti jamnya, tapi biasanya skt jam 6 sore

Hehe … Lumayan lah, barusan dpt 20 pips … Thank You, Gainscope ! Sukses selalu …

wah2….lagi saya profit besar nie pak…tadi sempet average 3x di GU. masing-masing di 6301 – 6264 – 6224 dan kemudian yang terjadi benar… harga melonjak hingga kisaran 1.64 …. hehehe lagi-lagi save by the bell…

Thanks For All Ya….

om GS jam 18.00 WIB ya berita GBP…
kemungkinan sell atau buy om????…
mohon petunjuknya…
terima kasih .

Melihat berita sore gimana nih prediksi untuk GBP/USD?

asik…… i have profit. prediksi GS memang jitu….. saya main G/U udah dapat profit + 164 thank banyak GS. Dan sekali lagi terimakasih banyak GS, Bravo terus GS

wah Om GC trima kacih dua order profit semua
USDJPY sama GBPUSD sehingga hari ini dua kali MAKNYUSS

Ini baru prediksi….hebat..hebat…
wish u all the best….

Dear GS,
Boleh tanya ya (dimaklumi Ya). Breakout Strategy itu apa ya? implementasinya bagaimana? Punten lho kang.

gainscope.com Reply:

Breakout itu pasang atas dan bawah (trapping) dengan Sell Stop dan Buy Stop

Tolong dong Tambahkan lagi prediksinya khususnya di pair GBP/JPY soalnya saya biasa di pair ini, juga SL dan TP di pair ini sebaiknya berapa ? thanks

gainscope.com Reply:

Kami belum ada untuk prediksi G/J, tapi akan kami sampaikan kepada team management, tetapi G/J biasanya mengikuti G/U

GS,ada apa yah GBP bs trn drastis 300pts dlm 3 mnt?ampe shock liatnya…thanx…

gainscope.com Reply:

Ada berita mendadak mengenai pengunduran diri PM Inggris

Dear GS, sy ragu apakah td terkirim pertanyaan sy, tp kirim saja kembali, krn tdk di list comment.
Tadi sy tanya, apa yg dimaksud breakout strategy? dan bgmn implementasinya? Thanks.

gainscope.com Reply:

Jadi itu bisa dipasang dengan Buy Stop dan Sell Stop di titik2 rawannya dikurangi sekitar 50 point, seperti E/U di 1.42 dan 1.41, tetapi TP tidak bisa banyak, rata2 sekitar 30 point saja, SL 50 pips

can buy eur/usd now

gainscope.com Reply:

better wait our analysis tomorrow

JADI SEBENARNYA, G/U MASIH MASIH UP TREND ATAU DOWN TREND?

gainscope.com Reply:

Sebaiknya menunggu analisa besok lagi, karena tadi sudah TP di waktu G/U keatas, tetapi karena td dipengaruhi oleh berita pengunduran diri PM UK maka sebaiknya ditunggu analisa besoknya lagi, Karena besok ada berita yang sangat penting yaitu Non Farm Payroll US

gainscope.com Reply:

Sebenarnya masih tetap bullish, tetapi karena tadi dipengaruhi oleh berita mendadak dari PM UK maka GBP jadi drop tajam, dan jika ingin order lagi sebaiknya ditunggu analisa kami besok ya.

Besok ada berita penting juga mengenai Non Farm Payroll US, jadi keep an eye on this too :)

Hello GS,
Tolong tanya ya ini mesti pasang posisi apa sekarang?
Thanks
Nana

gainscope.com Reply:

Tadi sudah TP, jadi untuk order lagi sebaiknya ditunggu di analisa besok lagi ya, karena kalau sudah malam begini akan complicated dan bouncing

Tolong tanya lagi, kalau sudah mencapai prediksi sekitar 1.4250, boleh pasang sell ?
Terima kasih

gainscope.com Reply:

Sebaiknya jangan, coba ditunggu analisa besok ya, karena besok ada berita yang penting juga tentang Non Farm Payroll US jam 7:30 malam WIB

INILAH BERITA YANG MEMBUAT GBP DROP BEGITU TAJAM:

LONDON (Dow Jones)–The pound has fallen heavily due to a rumor – later denied by Downing Street – that U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown was about to resign.

As the talk about Brown circulated around dealing rooms, the pound dropped by over 1.5% to trade at $1.6084, while the euro surged by a similar degree to hit GBP0.8756. However, sterling quickly recovered some ground shortly afterwards.

The fact that sterling has snapped back, albeit not to its previous levels, shows that traders should treat political news with caution.

“If we do see Brown step down, any move lower in sterling could be short-lived,” said Ian Stannard, a currencies analyst at BNP Paribas in London.

“I expect we will get more of these rumors over the coming weeks,” he added.

At 1225 GMT, sterling was trading at $1.6210 against the dollar. The euro traded at 0.8698.

========

Berita penting lainnya:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090604/ap_on_bi_ge/eu_britain_interest_rates

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090604/ap_on_bi_go_ec_fi/us_economy

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090604/bs_nm/us_usa_economy

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090604/ap_on_bi_ge/us_dollar

EU telah turun dan maseh bergerak sekitar 1.413 – 1.42 sekarang.Dari news,apakah EU maseh akan naik ke 1.43 seperti prediksi ? Ini kerana GU telah turun banyak tadi,apa EU akan ikut atau tidak.

gainscope.com Reply:

Coba ditunggu analisa besok lagi ya

LONDON (Dow Jones)–A sudden and sharp fall in the British pound’s rate of exchange against other major currencies Thursday afternoon was the first indication that investors have become nervous about political developments here.

In recent days, the pressure on U.K. Prime Minister Brown has mounted, with four ministers stepping down ahead of what are expected to be tough European and local elections Thursday.

While Brown has repeatedly insisted he will stay on regardless of the results, the government’s unpopularity, ongoing revelations about the abuse of a generous expenses system by lawmakers, and the resignations have heightened concerns about his political authority.

Yet until Thursday, the markets had taken the news very much in stride.

Sterling soared to a seven-month high against the dollar on Wednesday, while the FTSE 100 hit a five-month high on Monday, although it has since fallen back on falling commodity prices and worries about the U.S. economy.

Yet around 1200 GMT, markets were jolted by political speculation for the first time.

The pound lost more than three cents in a matter of seconds, dipping to $1.6086 from $1.6380. The euro lifted to GBP0.8756, from GBP0.8640.

Currency analysts said the talk among investors and traders was that Brown was preparing to resign. A spokesman for Brown quickly called the rumor “complete nonsense,” sending the pound higher again. At 1315 GMT, sterling had recovered to $1.6279.

Reaction in other markets was much more subdued. The FTSE 100 dropped about 21 points to 4359.62 in the few minutes before 1200 GMT but it too quickly recovered its nerve to 4379.75 at 1316GMT.

Bond markets were unruffled with September gilt futures contract holding modest price gains, up 0.06 on the day at 117.05.

For Brown, the fact the pound fell on talk of his resignation seemed like a rare public vote of confidence in his leadership, although a spokesman refused to comment on market moves.

However,David Buick, analyst at BGC Partners in London, said the pound’s move reflected the market’s usual aversion to uncertainty.

“As we all know markets cope well with good news, even better with bad news but fall apart at the seams when uncertainty prevails,” he said.

Ian Stannard, a currency analyst at BNP Paribas in London, said this could be the first of a string of such rumors in coming weeks. But he said the fact that the decline was so brief suggested that investors will take further U.K. political news in stride.

“If we do see Brown step down, any move lower in sterling could be short-lived,” he said.

For the U.K., political instability is a rare thing. Brown’s Labour government has been in power since 1997, with the most riveting political moments in that time being the infighting between Brown and his Labour predecessor Tony Blair.

With the voting system usually creating clear political majorities and U.K. national governments controlling most of the levers of power, it’s even rare formajor government initiatives to be stymied, as can frequently happen in the U.S.

However, the next few months could be different. In addition to Brown’s troubles and the difficulties created by the expenses scandal for lawmakers of all parties, the U.K. must also hold a general election by next June. If the opposition Conservative party takes power, there may well be sufficient policy changes on economic and European policies to force investors to take notice.

And in recent days, even senior ministers have acknowledged the current political crisis could impact the economy.

“The crisis isn’t spreading yet to the business sector but if it carries on like this, we are going to take a real hit in terms of our economy, our exports and jobs,” Business Minister Peter Mandelson said Wednesday.

-By Laurence Norman, Dow Jones Newswires

thanks atas hasil analisanya

Dear Gs,
Five Minutes… 250 pips!!! What Happened G/U. Syukur msh kebagian 40 pips.
Tolong kasih gambaran ya pak. Thanks.

pak kenapa tidak prediksi EU

gainscope.com Reply:

EU ada kan, setiap hari juga :)

analisa yang mantap. thanks GS

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